China is committed to the goals of reducing emissions for the first time, but analysts claim more ambition News | Environmental works

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China is committed to the goals of reducing emissions for the first time, but analysts claim more ambition News | Environmental works

This announcement, made by the United Nations General Assembly in New York, is the main shift of the Foundation from setting density climate goals to the goal of absolute emissions.

As part of the updated plan, the country’s non -archived energy consumption will take more than 30 percent of the total energy consumption.

Speaking in the Chinese language via the video link to the high -level climate top, Shi described the new goals as “the best efforts of China” under the Paris Agreement, which repeats that progress depends on a “favorable and open international environment”.

China’s goals 2035 are simply not the pace of energy transition in the country.

Bernis Lee, a distinguished colleague and great advisor, Chatham House

Apparently, he was taking veiled criticism in US President Donald Trump, who on Tuesday told the same crowd at the United Nations summit that climate change is the “greatest super function”, Shi stressed that the global green and low carbon transition should be seen as a “specific direction of our age.”

He said: “Although some countries are moving against tide, the international community must maintain fixed confidence and stay in the right track. We must continue to take measures and maintain momentum (in climate work).”

As the largest emitter in the world, China’s actions will have a great influence. The updated NDC comes before the COP30 summit in Brazil and Amid high pressure In all the main economies to expand its ambition in the climate.

The United Nations has warned that the existing pledges leave the world on the right path to heating by about 2.5 ° C to 2.9 degrees Celsius Many higher goals of the Paris Agreement.

While Xi’s announcement of the latest goals of China adds a long -term milestone to the country’s climate map, the volume of the promised cuts has drew mixed reactions. Some observers say that the Chinese leadership played it safely by setting modest goals that do not fully reflect the country’s capabilities, so that, in his speech, she left the way to overcome goals by saying that China “will work to do better” than the goal of reducing emissions.

Washington -based Asia Analysts, Kate Logan and Wali Shaw, Note that The Chinese economy has been cooling since the Covid-19 Web and severe energy shortage in 2021 and 2022 strengthened the continued construction of coal in the country.

Globally, Trump’s return and a decline in climate policy, right -wing policy in European policy, and major geopolitical events such as the war of Russia, Ukraine, created a global environment less encouraging to ambitious climatic obligations. They said the latest goals of China “reflects restricted ambition.” Both managers of the Climate Center in China in China.

“China has chosen promises more than it is confident of its delivery. Unfortunately, (goals) are not ashamed enough to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement or motivating the international community to accelerate climate progress.”

Lori Millevra agrees from the Crea Research and Air Research Center (CREA) that defeated pledges reflect China’s concerns, but said it “adapts to the current clean energy boom in China.” Goals should be seen as “a ground mode, not a roof” for China’s ambition.

In his speech, Xi also pledged to seek China to obtain its total capacity to generate energy and solar energy for wind and solar energy to reach 3.6 billion kilowatts by 2035, or more than six times the level of 2020. But myllvirta noticed that this goal means “a sharp slowdown in modern directions”, with the addition of less than 200 GW of solar energy and wind a year , Compared to 360 GW added in 2024.

“The target is likely to be greatly exceeded,” he said. “My reading is that this is a set of goals prepared by the conservative bureaucracy that did not choose anything this time.”

Measuring China’s goals

In this announcement, Xi did not specify a basic year for its planned reduction, but it linked it to the unlimited peak levels, which many analysts say could have already been crossed in 2024, according to emissions data derived from official and commercial sources. China has not yet officially announced that the total greenhouse gas emissions had peak; Its official policy states that the goal is to achieve the peak of emissions by 2030.

Other pledges in China 2035 NDCS:

The size of the forest shares will exceed 24 billion cubic meters.

New power cars will become prevailing among new vehicle sales.

-The national carbon emissions trading market will cover the main high -emission industries.

Climate reference community will be created.

Pre -analysis by the Climate Center at the Asia Association in China showed that from a scientific perspective, to compatibility with the threshold of the Paris Agreement of 1.5 degrees Celsius, China will need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 30 percent of peak levels by 2035; To stay within 2 ° C, it will be necessary to cut at least 20 percent.

The analysis also evaluated the goals of China by comparing the path of post -peak emissions with the path of other major gates. He stated that the United States reached its climax in energy -related carbon emissions in 2007, and then reduced it by 14.7 percent by 2017, after a decade of peak.

Bernis Lee, his distinguished colleague and great advisor to the World Research Tank, said Chatham House, that China could have “missed a trick in getting a more ambitious goal” because it would get wide global praise. “China 2035 goals are not simply represented in the country’s energy transition.”

“But there are the goals of the United Nations and there is a fact,” she added. “The reality is that the country invested 625 billion US dollars of clean energy last year 31 percent of the global total. The increase in clean energy is to reshape the global economy … My bet is that other countries will read writing on the wall and get to know China as fully committed and reassured because it seeks to transform (far) from fossil fuels. “

https://www.eco-business.com/news/china-commits-to-emissions-cutting-targets-for-first-time-but-analysts-call-for-more-ambition/